Explore our Global Investment Views for May 2024: Unraveling the complexity of the Fed's policy, inflation outlook, and identifying investment opportunities in a transforming global economy.

Searching for bright spots in a trickier phase

Recent inflation and growth data from the US indicates continued strength in the economy, leading us and various institutions including the IMF to revise up US growth. We see the current strong momentum to continue into Q2 but expect a deceleration in H2, without negative growth in any quarter. Data on the inflation side also points to stickier prices, with upside risks from the recent geopolitical escalation (oil).

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