2025 Investment Outlook: Bright spots in a world of anomalies

Friday 15 November 2024

Investment Talks

   

2025 Investment Outlook: Bright spots in a world of anomalies

November 2024 | We are in an unconventional economic cycle phase characterized by a positive outlook alongside anomalies like market concentration and excessive debt levels. While global macro liquidity supports riskier assets, growing policy uncertainty and geopolitical tensions highlight the need for greater diversification. Escalating geopolitical tensions, increased economic frictions, and ongoing conflicts will require companies to form new partnerships and relocate their operations to mitigate risks. From a fixed income perspective, the gradual return to neutral monetary policies may emphasize bonds' income-generating function, with relatively higher yields compared to the past. We see appealing opportunities in investment grade and short maturity high-yield credit.

01 |  We expect the global economy to soften in 2025, with the US economy moderating due to cooling domestic demand and labor market conditions.

02 | We believe identifying the opportunities created by policy choices and geopolitical shifts will be as important as safeguarding against the risks they entail.

03 | In response to this fragmented environment, investors can broaden their exposure to equities beyond US mega-cap stocks, look for income across liquid and illiquid assets, and implement hedges.

2025 Investment Outlook: Bright spots

Important Information

Unless otherwise stated, all information contained in this document is from Amundi Asset Management as of November 12, 2024 . Diversification does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss. The views expressed regarding market and economic trends are those of the author and not necessarily Amundi Asset Management and are subject to change at any time based on market and other conditions, and there can be no assurance that countries, markets or sectors will perform as expected. These views should not be relied upon as investment advice, a security recommendation, or as an indication of trading for any Amundi product or service. This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security, fund units or services. Investment involves risks, including market, political, liquidity and currency risks. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Amundi US is the US business of Amundi Asset Management.

RO ID# 4032602
©2024 Amundi Asset Management

Other news

IT-Looking beyond the magnificent 7
12/04/2024 Investment Talks

Looking Beyond a Top-Heavy Market: Four Areas for the Future

Underneath the surface of today’s concentrated US equities market, sharp earnings recoveries may soon play out and structural and cyclical changes may create new winning and losing stocks. Although the market is mostly ignoring the valuation risks, we have seen signs that this market imbalance may be ready to unwind. Notably, a higher-than-average amount of S&P 500 returns is explained by company-specific factors rather than macro factors, and valuation dispersion is also high. For active managers, the key is not just to identify pockets of value, but paths to future value through revenue and earnings growth.

IT-Trump Victory
11/07/2024 Investment Talks

Trump victory: Key implications for investors

Former President Donald Trump will return to the US White House for the next four years and, with the Republican party also taking the Senate and possibly the House, a “red sweep” is the most likely outcome. Financial markets reacted by extending popular “Trump trades” – pushing up bond yields, the US dollar and equity futures – as investors assign higher odds of Trump turning policy proposals into reality. The inflation impact of Trump’s policies will pose risks to fixed income investments, and these could be amplified by concerns about US fiscal sustainability.

IT-2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment perspectives
10/25/2024 Investment Talks

2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment perspectives

The broad outlines of the candidates' respective platforms are coming into focus, though they still lack clarity on costs related to specific proposals. Most importantly, it will not be clear until after the elections which policies will be implemented - beyond the election rhetoric - or whether Congress will agree to enact them. Here, we evaluate the candidates' platforms and their potential effects on the US economy.

Untitled Document

Before investing, consider the product's investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Contact your financial professional or Amundi US for a prospectus or summary prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully. To obtain a free prospectus or summary prospectus and for information on any Pioneer fund, please download it from our  literature section.

Securities offered through Amundi Distributor US, Inc.
60 State Street, Boston, MA 02109
Underwriter of Pioneer mutual funds, Member   SIPC.   

Not FDIC insured | May lose value | No bank guarantee Amundi Asset Management US, Inc.  Form CRS         Amundi Distributor US, Inc.  Form CRS