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Latest Research and Insights
11/07/2024
Investment Talks
Trump victory: Key implications for investors
Former President Donald Trump will return to the US White House for the next four years and, with the Republican party also taking the Senate and possibly the House, a “red sweep” is the most likely outcome. Financial markets reacted by extending popular “Trump trades” – pushing up bond yields, the US dollar and equity futures – as investors assign higher odds of Trump turning policy proposals into reality. The inflation impact of Trump’s policies will pose risks to fixed income investments, and these could be amplified by concerns about US fiscal sustainability.
11/01/2024
Global Investment Views, Equity, Fixed income
Mixed economic signals open up opportunities
The move up in bond yields, US stocks (record highs in October), and Europe indicate markets' perception of a perfect scenario centered around strong US growth and falling inflation and a positive impetus from monetary easing in Europe. Although we acknowledge the resilience of the US, not all data in the US and Europe has been straightforward.
10/25/2024
Investment Talks
2024 US elections: macro, geopolitical, and investment perspectives
The broad outlines of the candidates' respective platforms are coming into focus, though they still lack clarity on costs related to specific proposals. Most importantly, it will not be clear until after the elections which policies will be implemented - beyond the election rhetoric - or whether Congress will agree to enact them. Here, we evaluate the candidates' platforms and their potential effects on the US economy.
Products and Investment Ideas
Dynamic Markets Agile Thinking
We anticipate fundamental market shifts in 2024 resulting from global dynamics and geopolitical events, and continue our agile emphasis on value, quality and growth across asset classes.
Global Opportunities Shift
Look beyond near horizons to pockets of resilience and change in a transitioning economy.
Bonds Take Center Stage
Rate cuts in 2024 may be the catalyst for reducing portfolio risk by moving allocations to longer-term, higher-quality bonds.
Momentum for Quality Accelerates
Consider shifting equity holdings away from concentration risk by infusing quality across cyclicals, defensives and industries primed for the next-stage economy.
Consider Low- or Uncorrelated Allocations
Market volatility is an expected undercurrent in 2024, and alternatives to traditional assets may offset the potential downside.
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