2025 Investment Outlook

Bright spots in a world of anomalies
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The Amundi Institute is for the attention of Professional Investors, Institutional Investors, Consultants, and Intermediaries marketing to non-U.S. Persons ONLY. In the European Union, it is not for non-professional investors as defined by MIFID or in each local regulation. This website is solely for informational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security of any other product or service. Any securities, products, or services referenced may not be available for sale in the US. 

2025 Muni Mkt Outlook
03/10/2025 Investment Talks

Municipal Market Outlook

Unlike the US Treasury curve, the tax-exempt curve remains significantly positively sloped, leading to elevated yields in core and longer-duration municipal strategies. The high yield municipal market, in our view, displays a potential opportunity to provide not only tax-efficient dividends, but also pockets of price appreciation found in select sectors and security themes. In general, we expect credit stability in 2025, with potential policy shifts creating both credit negatives and positives. Some of these policy impacts may be felt in port issuers: broadly applied tariffs could impact bottom lines; hands-off energy policy could benefit traditional energy-producing local agencies and states; and Medicaid and Medicare reimbursement eligibility rate shifts could negatively impact smaller regional health care systems.

GIV-March 2025
03/10/2025 Global Investment Views, Equity, Fixed income

Markets between love and fear

In February, markets showed that love is in the air: despite new tariff announcements, inflation risks, and the DeepSeek shakeup, positive market sentiment continues to prevail. In Europe, equities reached new all-time highs, and in the US, there is evidence of a broadening equity rally, as the dominance of the Magnificent Seven may be starting to fade. However, uncertainty remains at extreme levels, with renewed fears emerging following the higher-than-expected January Consumer Price Index, which recorded its fastest increase in a year and a half, and some weak US economic data.

IT-2025 forming coalition
02/28/2025 Investment Talks

Forming coalition will be easiest of next German chancellor's many challenges

Given the tensions that brought down the last German government, which was a three-party coalition, preference will be given to a two-party coalition to limit the amount of compromise necessary. The most likely coalition is between the CDU/CSU and the SPD.  The German economy, which was in recession for the second year running in 2024, is the weakest economy in the eurozone. Tightening financial conditions, rising energy prices and weakening foreign demand (particularly from China) explain the poor economic performance. Uncertainty over tariffs has been weighing on confidence and domestic demand since the start of the year. 

*Prior to March 15, 2024, Amundi Funds Pioneer US Bond, Amundi Funds Pioneer Income Opportunities, Amundi Funds Pioneer US Short Term Bond, Amundi Funds Pioneer Global Equity, Amundi Funds Pioneer US Equity Fundamental Growth

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